A hybrid playbook where covert/intelligence envoys and conditional humanitarian aid are used alongside public threats to cajole adversary regimes into political concessions. It mixes face‑to‑face engagement (CIA delegations, Church partners for aid) with pressure signals (presidential capture talk), blurring diplomacy and coercion.
— If adopted, this approach changes how democracies project power: it lowers the threshold between diplomacy and intervention, reshapes norms around aid as leverage, and raises local escalation risks in regions like the Caribbean and Latin America.
Steve Sailer
2026.05.15
100% relevant
CIA Director John Ratcliffe’s delegation to Havana and the simultaneous $100 million U.S. aid offer during Cuba’s national grid failure, coupled with President Trump’s repeated public threats to ‘take’ Cuba.
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