Polls Predict Probability, Not Certainty

Polls provide probabilistic signals about likely outcomes, but they are not deterministic forecasts; their value lies in showing relative chances and uncertainty rather than guaranteeing a winner, especially when turnout and late shifts matter. The Pew video highlights how methodological choices, timing, and margin of error should temper claims about 'who will win.' — Reframing polls as probability indicators rather than definitive predictions would reduce misleading media narratives and improve public understanding of electoral uncertainty.