The Republican coalition that rode Trump — especially the multiracial, working‑class, low‑education populist bloc — is shrinking, while college‑educated voters are moving further toward Democrats. With Trump’s personal grip weakened after the midterms, internal intellectual debates on the conservative right will become practical fights over nominations, policy priorities, and electoral strategy.
— If accurate, this forces the GOP to choose between reconsolidating a populist base or rebuilding a competitive multiracial coalition, with major consequences for 2028 presidential pathways and the Electoral College map.
George Hawley
2026.11.10
100% relevant
The article’s exit‑poll claims: non‑college voters fell from ~56% GOP (2024) to ~50% (2026) and college graduates swung to Democrats (63% in 2026), and the author’s claim that 'the president’s hold on the Republican Party has weakened.'
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