Pre-Sputnik High-Orbit Glints

Updated: 2025.08.17 2M ago 1 sources
Digitized plates from the 1949–58 First Palomar Sky Survey contain over 100,000 brief transients that cluster where objects would be sunlit at geosynchronous-like distances, not in Earth’s shadow. Using the VASCO catalog, the shadow test shows a 21.9-sigma deficit (expected 1223 vs. seen 349 at ~42,000 km), consistent with sunlight glinting off flat, reflective surfaces. The implied rate is ~340 glints per hour per sky before any human satellites existed. — If verified, this suggests non-human orbital hardware before 1957, forcing a re-evaluation of SETI, space surveillance, and defense policy.

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Pre-Sputnik Earth-Orbit Glints
Robin Hanson 2025.08.17 100% relevant
VASCO analysis of Palomar plates: 106,339 transients; sunlight–shadow counts (1223 expected vs 349 observed at ~42,000 km; 339 expected vs 79 observed at ~80,000 km).
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