Problems Flip With Party Control

Updated: 2025.10.09 12D ago 10 sources
YouGov finds Republicans’ views of inflation and election fraud as 'very serious' collapse year‑over‑year (inflation 89%→48%; fraud 59%→33%) while Democrats’ inflation concern rises (45%→71%). This suggests a partisan 'thermostat' where perceptions of national problems adjust to who holds the presidency, not just to underlying conditions. — If issue seriousness is power‑contingent, policymakers and journalists should discount salience polls as barometers of reality and expect agenda priorities to swing with partisan control.

Sources

Comparing Donald Trump’s first and second terms as president
2025.10.09 62% relevant
The poll shows perceptions shifting markedly within months: in January 2025, 30% predicted more political violence; now 68% say there has been more. Similar jumps occur for domestic military force (47% predicted vs 69% now). These swings underscore how public assessments of national problems adjust under a new presidency.
Most Americans disapprove of Trump's handling of free speech and a growing share say rights are eroding
2025.09.23 70% relevant
The YouGov poll finds that since Trump’s second term began, Democrats and independents increasingly say free speech is in a bad state and view government as the main threat, while Republicans’ initially improved views later decline—mirroring how issue salience and concern often track who controls the presidency.
More Americans say the Democratic Party does a better job helping families than say the Republican Party does
2025.09.19 72% relevant
YouGov finds 83% of Democrats now say government doesn’t do enough for families vs 50% in Feb 2023 under Biden, mirroring the 'thermostat' effect where concern rises when the other party governs; Republicans’ view (29% now vs 28% then) barely moved.
Crime and punishment: How often Americans think would-be criminals are deterred by the fear of being caught and punished
2025.09.17 50% relevant
The survey shows Democrats are roughly twice as likely as Republicans to say presidents are never deterred by legal blocks (22% vs 10%), consistent with opposition‑party pessimism under a Republican president and the broader 'thermostat' pattern of issue perceptions shifting with power.
Trump's approval and attributes, the Charlie Kirk shooting, the parties, Epstein, and immigration: September 12 - 15, 2025 Economist/YouGov Poll
2025.09.16 60% relevant
The poll reports Trump’s net approval on jobs/economy at −22 and on inflation at −34—new lows for his second term—contrasting with his usually positive first‑term economy ratings, consistent with the pattern that issue perceptions shift against the incumbent party.
Concerns about Trump's age and health have grown since the start of his second term
2025.09.10 63% relevant
The poll shows perceptions of Trump’s age/health are sharply partisan (Democrats 80% say too old; Republicans 78% say not too old) and concerns rose after he assumed office, consistent with issue salience and problem perceptions shifting with who holds power.
Economic concerns, AI's effects, Trump's age, and the Epstein investigations: September 5 - 8, 2025 Economist/YouGov Poll
2025.09.09 82% relevant
The poll reports Democrats overwhelmingly expect higher inflation in six months (74% higher vs. 2% lower) while Republicans are more likely to expect lower inflation (37% lower vs. 25% higher). This mirrors the documented pattern that issue salience and perceived seriousness adjust with which party holds the presidency.
Inflation's lasting importance, troop deployment, political retaliation, the Fed, and COVID shots: August 29 - September 2, 2025 Economist/YouGov Poll
2025.09.03 60% relevant
Issue salience shifts in the poll—immigration as 'most important issue' falling from 16% (Mar 2024) to 7% now and 'civil rights' rising among Democrats since Trump’s second term—fit the pattern that what voters prioritize changes with who holds power.
Trump's agenda, crime, the National Guard, museums, slavery, and reading books: August 22 - 25, 2025 Economist/YouGov Poll
2025.08.26 75% relevant
The article notes that partisan differences in perceiving rising crime were larger under Obama/Biden but are smaller when Trump is president, aligning with evidence that issue salience and perceived severity track who controls the White House rather than objective conditions.
Republicans are much less likely to see inflation and election fraud as very serious problems than they were a year ago
2025.08.25 100% relevant
The 2024→2025 shifts in YouGov’s 'very serious problem' measures for inflation and election fraud by party.
← Back to All Ideas