Progressive Bubble Disconnects Swing Voters

Concentrated progressive institutions and urban clusters create an information and social bubble that misjudges independents' values. That bubble leads parties to adopt stances that are electorally unpopular even when their base approves, producing cyclical backlash rather than steady moral progress. — If true, this explains why Democrats can win on immediate reactions (e.g., midterm backlash against a war) but still struggle to hold power long-term without reanchoring toward swing‑voter norms.