Protracted War Benefits China

A prolonged Middle East conflict could systematically weaken US military, diplomatic and financial reach while redirecting capital, energy routes, and supply‑chain dependencies toward China, giving Beijing leverage over pricing, settlement currency and infrastructure. The memo from China's Intellisia Institute — subsequently censored — argues that these dynamics would create a decade‑long strategic opportunity for China to deepen its hub role without overt military action. — If true, the idea implies a major reordering of global economic and strategic alignments, affecting US alliances, the petrodollar, trade routes, and where capital flees in a long war.