Local election results show Reform UK turning protest votes from 2016 into an organised, place‑based coalition of working‑class, culturally conservative voters angry about immigration and perceived national decline. Those gains are concentrated in formerly Labour, pro‑Brexit towns (Goodwin cites Wigan, Tameside and high shares in Eastern England), suggesting a durable electoral shift rather than a transient protest.
— If durable, this coalition will force Labour and the Conservatives to rethink immigration, criminal‑justice, and cultural messaging ahead of national contests and could redraw Britain’s party system.
Matt Goodwin
2026.05.08
100% relevant
Goodwin’s reported results and figures: Reform averaging ~40% in pro‑Brexit areas, taking 24 of 25 seats in parts of Wigan and 18 of 19 in Tameside; claims these follow the post‑2016 realignment.
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