Researcher Gives Over 10% Extinction Odds

An Anthropic safety researcher, Evan Hubinger, posted on X that he judges the chance AI 'could kill all humans' within the next decade to be greater than 10%, though he did not specify a mechanism. The comment is framed as an explicit probabilistic estimate rather than a vague concern, and it prompted debate about the adequacy of current lab safety practices and corporate governance. — Public, quantified extinction‑risk statements from prominent lab insiders turn existential risk into a politically actionable metric that can drive regulation, funding, and public opinion.