Risk literacy as civic skill

Public life increasingly depends on interpreting probabilistic claims about technology, conflict, and markets. Democracies need shared capacities — methods, institutions, and norms — to evaluate risk claims (timelines, model uncertainty, market forecasts) rather than defaulting to panic or dismissal. — If citizens and institutions improve 'risk literacy', policy debates over AI, war, public health, and finance will be less driven by fear and more by evidence‑sensitive prioritization.