When adult children delay having kids to maximize their own payoffs, they impose an external cost on their parents by cutting the parents’ healthy years available for grandparental care and transfers. That raises the market price of informal care and raises wealth per grandchild, with the effects concentrated among higher‑educated families.
— This reframes fertility timing as an intergenerational externality with economic consequences for care markets, inequality, and social policy (childcare, eldercare, leave, and transfer design).
Tyler Cowen
2026.09.22
100% relevant
NBER working paper by Dora Costa and Matt Kahn summarized in Tyler Cowen’s post — median grandmotherhood moved from 44 (1960 schedule) to 57 (2024 schedule); healthy grandmother years fell from 28 to 15; reproductive‑control access explains over half the decline among White college graduates.
← Back to all ideas