Single‑Actor Miscalculation Narrative

Political and media coverage often reduces complex conflicts to one actor's error (e.g., 'Trump miscalculated'), which erases reciprocal mistakes, strategic ambiguity, and the continuing contest between sides. This framing encourages moral certainty and partisan scorekeeping instead of nuanced tracking of outcomes and risks. — If public debate defaults to blame‑centric narratives, policy decisions and voter judgment will be distorted toward punishment optics rather than sober assessment of escalating risks.