Many modern pleasures that once were banned are now accepted, yet recreational sports betting remains a frequent legal exception despite lacking the usual justifications (physical harm, deep moral stigma). The rise of low‑fee, fast prediction markets (e.g., Kalshi, Polymarket) makes that exception politically and economically salient.
— Framing sports betting as a lingering moral anomaly highlights an underexplored lever for regulators and could reorient debates about whether to treat prediction markets like ordinary finance or exceptional vice.
Robin Hanson
2026.04.13
100% relevant
Robin Hanson’s column cites Kalshi and Polymarket and argues that traditional rationales (harm, shame, distraction) don’t explain continued bans on typical sports bets.
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