Start‑year bias skews terror counts

Updated: 2026.01.09 20D ago 2 sources
Political‑violence tallies can be distorted by where analysts start the clock. Beginning in 1975 omits the late‑1960s wave of left‑wing attacks, and leaving out mass events like Jonestown changes perceived ideological balance. These boundary choices can launder away inconvenient periods and tilt today’s blame. — Recognizing start‑year and inclusion bias forces media and policymakers to demand transparent, historically complete datasets before making ideological claims about violence.

Sources

Yes, Somali Immigrants Commit More Crime Than Natives
Matthew Lilley, Robert VerBruggen 2026.01.09 48% relevant
The City Journal article exemplifies the same class of measurement/selection biases called out in the 'start‑year' idea: choices about which denominator or time‑window to use (here, incarceration stocks vs. incident flows and immigrant tenure) materially change conclusions about who is responsible for criminal incidents, mirroring how temporal boundaries can skew political‑violence tallies.
How much black violence is leftist?
Steve Sailer 2025.10.03 100% relevant
The article cites Cato’s list starting in 1975 and an external critique noting the omission of the 1978 Jonestown massacre.
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