State Supermajorities ≠ Realignment

Winning large state legislative majorities on a given night can be driven by midterm dynamics, turnout quirks, or national waves rather than durable partisan realignment. Treat early supermajority claims as a prompt for deeper analysis (vote margins, down‑ballot patterns, demographic trends) before concluding the state 'flipped.' — Misreading temporary midterm waves as permanent realignment leads to bad forecasting, policymaking and strategic choices by parties and interest groups.