Politicians are citing subgroup swings in the BLS household survey to claim that either immigrants or natives get 'all' new jobs, then pairing that with payroll (establishment) job totals. These datasets measure different things and aren't add‑up compatible; combining them is a 'multiple‑count data felony.' Use the establishment survey for total job growth and treat household subgroup moves as noisy, longer‑window indicators.
— Better dataset hygiene would prevent narrative‑driven labor claims from steering immigration and employment policy.
Jordan Weissmann
2025.08.20
100% relevant
Labor Secretary Lori Chavez‑DeRemer and DHS touted a 'native‑born jobs surge' that Jed Kolko flagged as a cross‑survey misuse.
José Duarte
2025.08.01
75% relevant
Kessler reportedly cites establishment payroll totals to tout overall job gains while using household‑survey subgroup figures (native‑born vs foreign‑born) to rebut Trump, a cross‑dataset mixing the existing idea flags as misleading in labor debates.
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