Storythinking over Probabilities

Organizations should institutionalize 'storythinking'—deliberate, narrative‑led exploration of low‑probability but high‑impact possibilities—alongside probabilistic forecasting and A/B style evidence. This means funding rapid physical prototyping, counterfactual scenarios, and narrative rehearsals (not just PPE statistical models) to surface paths that probability‑centred methods will systematically miss. — Adopting storythinking would change how governments and firms evaluate innovation risk, set AI release policy, and allocate R&D funding by making space for plausible, previously unmodelled breakthroughs and failure modes.