Strong‑Approval Share Predicts Durability

Track the percentage who 'strongly approve' a leader separately from headline net approval. The size of the committed core (strong approvers) is a better short‑term predictor of turnout, primary vulnerability, and the ability to absorb scandals than two‑point net‑approval swings. — If political analysts and campaigns start treating strong‑approval share as a distinct metric, it could change how parties prioritize mobilization, messaging, and vulnerability assessments ahead of midterms and primaries.