Tourism as a Development Trap

Updated: 2025.09.19 1M ago 3 sources
Countries leaning heavily on tourism rarely become rich; outside microstates, tourism-dependent places like Jamaica, Bali, Maldives, and Fiji remain poor despite global name recognition. Tourism is labor- and capital-intensive, hard to differentiate, and imposes negative externalities like overcrowding and talent flight. Rising tourism share is a red flag that the rest of the economy is failing to compete. — It pushes policymakers to prioritize tradable, productivity-raising sectors over reliance on tourist inflows that cap national prosperity.

Sources

Does China push out African growth?
Tyler Cowen 2025.09.19 50% relevant
Both argue that a country’s sectoral specialization can cap or slow development. This paper’s finding that China pushes African economies toward less‑complex sectors parallels the tourism‑trap logic that specializing in low‑complexity activities suppresses long‑run capability growth.
The Cuban Conundrum: Fear, Loathing, and Stagnation in Havana and Miami
Juan David Rojas 2025.08.20 70% relevant
The article underscores Cuba’s tourism dependence and shows how an external policy shock (SSOT redesignation) rapidly crippled the sector, deepening economic crisis—an example of why tourism-heavy economies are fragile and struggle to build durable prosperity.
No Country Ever Got Rich From Tourism
Marko Jukic 2025.07.18 100% relevant
The piece cites 2019 export-share numbers (e.g., Montenegro 53%, Albania 51%, Croatia 38%, Greece 28%) and contrasts them with poor outcomes in famed tourist destinations.
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