A one‑number measure for an individual that reports how strongly they would prefer any available alternative to Donald Trump on a 0–100 scale (0 = prefer Trump to anyone; 100 = would prefer the most anti‑Trump candidate, e.g., Mamdani, to Trump). It converts affective polarization into a simple comparative preference metric that can be asked in polls or appended to existing surveys.
— Making tribal antipathy quantitatively legible would let pollsters, researchers, and media distinguish principled cross‑ideological preferences from reflexive anti‑Trump status signaling and track how elite endorsements move mass affect over time.
Arnold Kling
2026.01.01
100% relevant
Arnold Kling’s essay proposes scoring readers by who they would vote for against Trump, cites concrete actor endorsements (Jonathan Last and William Kristol backing Zohran Mamdani) and gives personal scoring examples (preferring Sasse or Torres), showing how the TDI could be elicited in practice.
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