Vibes vs Analysis in Beliefs

Updated: 2025.09.14 1M ago 1 sources
Most people adopt abstract beliefs by 'vibing'—intuitive, status‑coded associations—while slower, evidence‑based analysis often points elsewhere. Hanson argues two constructive contrarian modes: prioritize domain‑specific evidence over vibes, and use discipline‑neutral criteria to adjudicate conflicts across fields (a polymath stance). A third, weaker mode is to embrace contrary vibes for their own sake. — This gives a practical map for separating status‑driven rhetoric from evidence and for judging cross‑disciplinary claims in politicized debates.

Sources

Three Kinds of Contrarians
Robin Hanson 2025.09.14 100% relevant
Hanson: 'Most public talk on abstract beliefs is vibes' and his examples about medicine and democracy versus expert evidence.
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