VRA Cuts Create Swing Districts

Striking or narrowing Section 2 would let red states dismantle some minority‑majority Democratic seats, but those voters don’t disappear—they spill into surrounding districts, often making them competitive. A WAR‑adjusted model that accounts for incumbency and candidate strength suggests GOP gains grow, but a locked‑in House majority is not inevitable. — This reframes legal‑map outcomes by replacing 'one‑party rule' doom with a geography‑driven shift toward more swing seats, changing how parties plan litigation, mapping, and resource allocation.