White non‑college women defect from Trump

2026 survey data show Trump’s approval has plunged far more among women than men, with the largest collapse among white, non‑college‑educated women who identify as moderate or conservative. That group made up about 38% of the 2024 electorate per Catalist, so their defection could materially alter Senate and presidential outcomes in key states. — If white non‑college women continue to abandon Trump, the Republican electoral coalition could be destabilized, changing battleground dynamics and down‑ballot prospects in 2026 and beyond.